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European Forests and Carbon Sequestration Services: An Economic Assessment of Climate Change Impacts

Paulo Nunes (), Helen Ding () and Sonja STeelucksingh
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Sonja STeelucksingh: ondazione Eni Enrico Mattei and University of the West Indies

No 2010.10, Working Papers from Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei

Abstract: This paper reports an original economic valuation of the impact of climate change on the provision of forest regulating services in Europe. To the authors’ knowledge the current paper represents the first systematic attempt to estimate human well-being losses with respect to changes in biodiversity and forest regulating services that are directly driven by climate change. First, selected 34 European countries are grouped by their latitude intervals to capture the differentiated regional effects of forests in response to climate change. Moreover, the future trends of forest areas and stocked carbon in 2050 are projected through the construction and simulation of global circulation models such as HADMC3 following four different future developing paths described by the four IPCC scenarios. Finally, the valuation exercise is anchored in an ecosystem service based approach, involving the use of general circulation models and integrated assessment models. Our findings address two dimensions in the evaluation of climate impacts on European forests: Firstly, future projections yield different states of the world depending upon the IPCC scenario adopted. Secondly, spatial issues matter in an assessment of the distributional impacts of climate change, as these impacts are not distributed in a uniform way across the European countries under consideration.

Keywords: Economic Valuation; Forest Ecosystem; Carbon Sequestration; Climate Change Impacts (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: Q23 Q51 Q57 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2010-01
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-agr, nep-cmp, nep-ene, nep-env and nep-eur
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