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Leadership Cycles

Vincenzo Denicolo' () and Piercarlo Zanchettin

No 2010.35, Working Papers from Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei

Abstract: We study a quality-ladder model of endogenous growth that produces stochastic leadership cycles. Over a cycle, industry leaders can innovate several successive times in the same industry, gradually increasing the magnitude of their technological lead before being replaced by a new entrant. Initially, new leaders are eager to enlarge their lead and do much of the research, but if they innovate repeatedly, their propensity to invest in R&D decreases. Eventually they stop doing research altogether, and as they are overtaken a new cycle starts. The model generates a skewed firm size distribution and a deviation from Gibrat’s law that accord with the empirical evidence. We also consider various policy measures, showing that in some cases policy should favour R&D by incumbents, not outsiders, and that stronger patent protection may reduce innovation and growth.

Keywords: Technological Lead; Innovation; R&D (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: O32 O4 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2010-04
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ino and nep-mic
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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Working Paper: Leadership Cycles (2010) Downloads
Working Paper: Leadership Cycles (2009) Downloads
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