Going Electric: Expert Survey on the Future of Battery Technologies for Electric Vehicles

Michela Catenacci, Elena Verdolini, Valentina Bosetti, Giulia Fiorese and Nadia Ameli
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Michela Catenacci: Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei
Nadia Ameli: Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei

No 2012.93, Working Papers from Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei

Abstract: The paper describes the results of a survey, carried out with leading EU experts, on the capacity of both fully electric and plug-in hybrid vehicles to reach commercial success in the next twenty years. The success of electric transport is hampered by a combination of low range, scarce efficiency and high costs of batteries. Costs are expected to decrease in response to increasing sales volume and technical improvements, and advances would result from adequate investments in research, development and demonstration (RD&D). Experts’ judgements are collected to shed light on the inherently uncertain relationship between RD&D efforts and consequent technical progress, and to assess the complex dynamics that will hinder or support the widespread diffusion of electric vehicles. The analysis of the experts’ data results in a number of important policy recommendations to guide future RD&D choices and target commitments both for the EU and its member states.

Keywords: Expert Elicitation; Battery Technologies; Electric Vehicles (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: Q5 Q55 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2012-12
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ene, nep-ino and nep-tre
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (6)

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Related works:
Journal Article: Going electric: Expert survey on the future of battery technologies for electric vehicles (2013)
Working Paper: Going Electric: Expert Survey on the Future of Battery Technologies for Electric Vehicles (2012)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:fem:femwpa:2012.93

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