Can the Global Forest Sector Survive 11°C Warming?

Alice Favero, Robert Mendelsohn and Brent Sohngen
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Alice Favero: Georgia Institute of Technology

No 2017.40, Working Papers from Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei

Abstract: It is well known that the forestry sector is sensitive to climate change but most studies have examined impacts only through 2100 and warming of less than 4°C. This is the first timber analysis to consider possible climate change impacts out to 2250 and warming up to 11°C above 1900 levels. The results suggest that large productivity gains through 2190 lead to a continued expansion of the global timber supply. However, as carbon fertilization effects diminish and continued warming causes forestland to continue to shrink, warming above 8°C is predicted to become harmful to the forest sector.

Keywords: Climate change; RCP 8.5; Forestry; Dynamic optimization; Timber market (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: Q23 Q5 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017-09
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-agr and nep-env
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Related works:
Journal Article: Can the Global Forest Sector Survive 11 °C Warming? (2018)
Working Paper: Can the Global Forest Sector Survive 11°C Warming? (2017)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:fem:femwpa:2017.40

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