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The effects of UI benefits on unemployment and subsequent outcomes: Evidence from a kinked benefit rule

Tomi Kyyrä and Hanna Pesola

No 82, Working Papers from VATT Institute for Economic Research

Abstract: This paper analyzes the effects of unemployment insurance (UI) benefits on unemployment exits and subsequent labor market outcomes. We exploit a piecewise linear relationship between the previous wage and UI benefits in Finland to identify the causal effects of the benefit level by using a regression kink design. According to our findings, higher benefits lengthen nonemployment spells and decrease time spent in part-time unemployment, and thus result in more full-time unemployment. Also the re-employment probability and postunemployment wage are negatively affected. The results for the duration of the first post-unemployment job are not conclusive, but in total both employment and earnings in the two years following the beginning of the unemployment spell decrease with higher benefits.

Keywords: unemployment; unemployment benefit; unemployment duration; unemployment insurance; Social security; taxation and inequality; Labour markets and education (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

Downloads: (external link)
https://www.doria.fi/handle/10024/148919

Related works:
Journal Article: The Effects of UI Benefits on Unemployment and Subsequent Outcomes: Evidence from a Kinked Benefit Rule (2020) Downloads
Working Paper: The Effects of UI Benefits on Unemployment and Subsequent Outcomes: Evidence from a Kinked Benefit Rule (2017) Downloads
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