Do Consumers Rely More Heavily on Credit Cards While Unemployed?
Allison Cole
No 2016-06, Consumer Payments Research Data Reports from Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
Abstract:
Leading up to the Great Recession, households increased their credit card debt by over 16 percent ($121 billion) during the five-year period from 2004 to 2009. The unemployment rate simultaneously began to rise in 2008, increasing from 5.0 percent in January 2008 to a high of 10.0 percent in October of 2009. During the recovery, from 2009 to 2014, credit card debt fell by more than 25 percent, as the unemployment rate returned to near prerecession levels. These coincident developments have led to speculation that consumers facing unemployment or job uncertainty may have increased their reliance on credit cards. Using panel data from the Survey of Consumer Payment Choice (SCPC), we analyze consumers’ adoption and use of credit cards, along with other payment instruments, among consumers during periods of unemployment. We compare this behavior with that of their employed peers, and we track the same people over time to test whether credit card behavior changes with employment status. Using descriptive statistics and regression analysis, we find the following: 1) Respondents who were unemployed at some point during the sample period are demographically distinct from the average respondent: they are significantly younger, have lower incomes, are less likely to be married, and are less likely to be white; 2) Respondents who were unemployed at some point during the sample period adopted a different set of payment instruments than the average respondent: they were significantly less likely to have had a bank account and significantly less likely to have had a credit card; 3) Respondents who were unemployed at some point during the sample period had a significantly lower share of credit card payments as a percentage of overall payments, meaning they used credit cards less intensively than the average respondent; 4) There is some evidence that respondents decrease their credit card use during a period of unemployment. Thus, we do not find evidence that consumers increase their reliance on credit cards during spells of unemployment. On the contrary, the SCPC data indicate that consumers may, in fact, decrease their reliance on credit cards while unemployed.
Keywords: Consumer payment choice; consumer behavior; unemployment; credit cards; consumer preferences; Survey of Consumer Payment Choice (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D12 D91 J6 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 27
Date: 2016-12-20
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations:
Downloads: (external link)
https://www.atlantafed.org/-/media/documents/banki ... employed/rdr1606.pdf Full text (application/pdf)
Related works:
Working Paper: Do consumers rely more heavily on credit cards while unemployed? (2016) 
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.
Export reference: BibTeX
RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan)
HTML/Text
Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:fip:fedadr:99572
Ordering information: This working paper can be ordered from
Access Statistics for this paper
More papers in Consumer Payments Research Data Reports from Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Rob Sarwark ().