FRB Atlanta Working Paper

From Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
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2026-9: Attention-Dependent Monetary Transmission to Household Beliefs

Jaemin Jeong, Eunseong Ma and Choongryul Yang

2026-8: Innovation Booms, Easy Financing, and Human Capital Accumulation

Johan Hombert and Adrien Matray

2026-7: The Anatomy of Polarization: Evidence from Worker Flows

Fabio Cerina, Elisa Dienesch, Alexander Monge-Naranjo and Alessio Moro

2026-6: Automation, Learning, and Career Dynamics

Hassan Afrouzi, Andrés Blanco, Andres Drenik and Erik Hurst

2026-5: What's Behind Declining Birth Rates in the U.S.?

Allen Bradley, Lila Newberry Bradley, Julie Hotchkiss, Clare Ostle and Deborah Partey

2026-3: Firm Data on AI

Jose Maria Barrero, Nicholas Bloom, Philip Bunn, Steven J. Davis, Kevin Foster, Aaron Jalca, Brent Meyer, Paul Mizen, Michael Navarrete, Pawel Smietanka, Gregory Thwaites, Ben Wang and Ivan Yotzov

2026-2: Merchant Steering of Consumer Payment Choice

Claire Greene, Oz Shy and Joanna Stavins

2026-16: Bailing Out (Firms') Uninsured Deposits: A Quantitative Analysis

N. Aaron Pancost and Roberto Robatto

2026-15: Nowcasting with Mixed Frequency Principal Components When Not All Months Are the Same

Patrick Higgins

2026-14: Testing for Contemporaneous Exogeneity in Linear Time-Series Models

Prosper Dovonon and Nikolay Gospodinov

2026-13: Shipping Cost Shocks and US Producer Prices: Normal versus Crisis Pass-through

Simon Gilchrist, Bin Wei, Vivian Z. Yue and Egon Zakrajšek

2026-12: Industrial Policy and Capital Misallocation in Exporting

Poorya Kabir, Adrien Matray, Karsten Müller and Chenzi Xu

2026-11: Mortgage Lock-in: A Review of the Literature

Kristopher Gerardi, Franklin Qian and David Hao Zhang

2026-10: Long-Run Intergenerational Effects of Social Security

Daniel Fetter, Lee Lockwood and Paul Mohnen

2026-1: The Evolution of U.S. Educational Mobility over the 20th Century and the Role of Public Education

Martha Bailey, Paul Mohnen and A.R. Shariq Mohammed

2026-04: Artificial Intelligence, Productivity, and the Workforce: Evidence from Corporate Executives

Salome Baslandze, Zach Edwards, John Graham, Ty McClure, Brent Meyer, Michael Sparks, Sonya Ravindranath Waddell and Daniel J. Weitz

2025-9: A Uniformly Valid Test for Instrument Exogeneity

Prosper Dovonon and Nikolay Gospodinov

2025-8: The Price of Delay: Supply Chain Disruptions and Pricing Dynamics

Salome Baslandze and Simon Fuchs

2025-7: Firm-Level Input Price Changes and Their Effects: A Deep Learning Approach

Sudheer Chava, Wendi Du, Indrajit Mitra, Agam Shah and Linghang Zeng

2025-6: The Effect of Unemployment Insurance Eligibility in Equilibrium

Ying Chao, Benjamin Griffy and David Wiczer

2025-5: Why Does the Yield Curve Predict GDP Growth? The Role of Banks

Camelia Minoiu, Andrés Schneider and Min Wei

2025-4: Bank Financing of Global Supply Chains

Laura Alfaro, Mariya Brussevich, Camelia Minoiu and Andrea Presbitero

2025-3: Screen More, Sell Later: Screening and Dynamic Signaling in the Mortgage Market

Manuel Adelino, Bin Wei and Feng Zhao

2025-2: Economic Diversity and the Resilience of Cities

François de Soyres, Simon Fuchs, Illenin Kondo and Helene Maghin

2025-15: Geospatial Heterogeneity in Inflation: A Market Concentration Story

Seula Kim and Michael Navarrete

2025-14: COBOLing Together UI Benefits: How Delays in Fiscal Stabilizers Affect Aggregate Consumption

Michael Navarrete

2025-13: Evaluating Transportation Improvements Quantitatively: A Primer

Treb Allen, Woan Foong Wong and Simon Fuchs

2025-12: On Model Aggregation and Forecast Combination

Nikolay Gospodinov and Esfandiar Massoumi

2025-11: From Skills to Occupations: Comparative Advantage and Cross-Country Income Differences

Charles Gottlieb, Jan Grobovsek and Alexander Monge-Naranjo

2025-10: Assessing the Role of Global Demand and Supply Shocks in the Recent US Inflation Experience Using a Cross-Country Panel Dataset of Professional Forecasts

Patrick Higgins

2025-01: Foundational Processes and Growth

Salome Baslandze, Leo Liu, Elvira Sojli and Wing Wah Tham

2024-9: The Dynamics of Large Inflation Surges

Andrés Blanco, Pablo Ottonello and Tereza Ranošová

2024-8: Quantifying Forward Guidance and Yield Curve Control

Junko Koeda and Bin Wei

2024-7: Zombie Lending to U.S. Firms

Giovanni Favara, Camelia Minoiu and Ander Pérez-Orive

2024-6: Government Litigation Risk and the Decline in Low-Income Mortgage Lending

W Frame, Kristopher Gerardi, Erik J. Mayer, Billy Xu and Lawrence Zhao

2024-5: Is Sales Tax Included in the Price? Consumer Inattention and Price Competition

Oz Shy

2024-4: Inference Based On Time-Varying SVARs Identified with Time Restrictions

Jonas E. Arias, Juan F Rubio-Ramirez, Minchul Shin and Daniel Waggoner

2024-3: Declining Responsiveness at the Establishment Level: Sources and Productivity Implications

Russell Cooper, John Haltiwanger and Jonathan Willis

2024-2: Skilled Immigration Frictions as a Barrier for Young Firms

Federico Mandelman, Mishita Mehra and Hewei Shen

2024-17: The Macroeconomics of Irreversibility

Isaac Baley and Andrés Blanco

2024-16: Trade Uncertainty and U.S. Bank Lending

Ricardo Correa, Julian di Giovanni, Linda Goldberg and Camelia Minoiu

2024-11: Nonlinear Dynamics in Menu Cost Economies? Evidence from U.S. Data

Andrés Blanco, Corina Boar and Callum Jones

2024-1: Slowdown in Immigration, Labor Shortages, and Declining Skill Premia

Federico Mandelman, Yang Yu, Francesco Zanetti and Andrei Zlate

2023-9: The Local Origins of Business Formation

Emin Dinlersoz, Timothy Dunne, John Haltiwanger and Veronika Penciakova

2023-8: Tell Me Something I Don't Already Know: Learning in Low- and High-Inflation Settings

Bernardo Candia, Olivier Coibion, Serafin Frache, Dimitris Georgarakos, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Geoff Kenny, Saten Kumar, Rodrigo Lluberas, Brent Meyer, Tiziano Ropele and Michael Weber

2023-7: The Role of Social Costs in Response to Labor Market Opportunities: Differences across Race

Kalee Burns and Julie Hotchkiss

2023-6a: The Fed Information Effect and Firm-Level Investment: Evidence and Theory

Alex Hsu, Indrajit Mitra, Yu Xu and Linghang Zeng

2023-6: The Profitability Channel of Monetary Policy Transmission

Alex Hsu, Indrajit Mitra and Linghang Zeng

2023-5: Estimates of Cost-Price Passthrough from Business Survey Data

Wändi Bruine de Bruin, Keshav Dogra, Sebastian Heise, Edward Knotek, Brent Meyer, Robert Rich, Raphael Schoenle, Giorgio Topa and Wilbert van der Klaauw

2023-17: A Critical Review of the Common Ownership Literature

Kristopher Gerardi, Michelle Lowry and Carola Schenone