FRB Atlanta Working Paper

From Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
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2025-9: A Uniformly Valid Test for Instrument Exogeneity

Prosper Dovonon and Nikolay Gospodinov

2025-8: The Price of Delay: Supply Chain Disruptions and Pricing Dynamics

Salomé Baslandze and Simon Fuchs

2025-7: Firm-Level Input Price Changes and Their Effects: A Deep Learning Approach

Sudheer Chava, Wendi Du, Indrajit Mitra, Agam Shah and Linghang Zeng

2025-6: The Effect of Unemployment Insurance Eligibility in Equilibrium

Ying Chao, Benjamin Griffy and David Wiczer

2025-5: Why Does the Yield Curve Predict GDP Growth? The Role of Banks

Camelia Minoiu, Andrés Schneider and Min Wei

2025-4: Bank Financing of Global Supply Chains

Laura Alfaro, Mariya dup Brussevich, Camelia Minoiu and Andrea Presbitero

2025-3: Screen More, Sell Later: Screening and Dynamic Signaling in the Mortgage Market

Manuel Adelino, Bin Wei and Feng Zhao

2025-2: Economic Diversity and the Resilience of Cities

François de Soyres, Simon Fuchs, Illenin Kondo and Helene Maghin

2025-14: COBOLing Together UI Benefits: How Delays in Fiscal Stabilizers Affect Aggregate Consumption

Michael Navarrete

2025-13: Evaluating Transportation Improvements Quantitatively: A Primer

Treb Allen, Woan Foong Wong and Simon Fuchs

2025-12: On Model Aggregation and Forecast Combination

Nikolay Gospodinov and Esfandiar Massoumi

2025-11: From Skills to Occupations: Comparative Advantage and Cross-Country Income Differences

Charles Gottlieb, Jan Grobovsek and Alexander Monge-Naranjo

2025-10: Assessing the Role of Global Demand and Supply Shocks in the Recent US Inflation Experience Using a Cross-Country Panel Dataset of Professional Forecasts

Patrick Higgins

2025-01: Foundational Processes and Growth

Salome Baslandze, Leo Liu, Elvira Sojli and Wing Wah Tham

2024-9: The Dynamics of Large Inflation Surges

Andres Blanco, Pablo Ottonello and Tereza Ranošová

2024-8: Quantifying Forward Guidance and Yield Curve Control

Junko Koeda and Bin Wei

2024-7: Zombie Lending to U.S. Firms

Giovanni Favara, Camelia Minoiu and Ander Pérez-Orive

2024-6: Government Litigation Risk and the Decline in Low-Income Mortgage Lending

W Frame, Kristopher Gerardi, Erik J. Mayer, Billy Xu and Lawrence Zhao

2024-5: Is Sales Tax Included in the Price? Consumer Inattention and Price Competition

Oz Shy

2024-4: Inference Based On Time-Varying SVARs Identified with Time Restrictions

Jonas E. Arias, Juan F Rubio-Ramirez, Minchul Shin and Daniel Waggoner

2024-3: Declining Responsiveness at the Establishment Level: Sources and Productivity Implications

Russell W. Cooper, John Haltiwanger and Jonathan Willis

2024-2: Skilled Immigration Frictions as a Barrier for Young Firms

Federico Mandelman, Mehra dup Mishita and Hewei Shen

2024-17: The Macroeconomics of Irreversibility

Isaac Baley and Andres Blanco

2024-16: Trade Uncertainty and U.S. Bank Lending

Ricardo Correa, Julian di Giovanni, Linda Goldberg and Camelia Minoiu

2024-11: Nonlinear Dynamics in Menu Cost Economies? Evidence from U.S. Data

Andres Blanco, Corina Boar and Callum Jones

2024-1: Slowdown in Immigration, Labor Shortages, and Declining Skill Premia

Federico Mandelman, Yang Yu, Francesco Zanetti and Andrei Zlate

2023-9: The Local Origins of Business Formation

Emin Dinlersoz, Timothy Dunne, John Haltiwanger and Veronika Penciakova

2023-8: Tell Me Something I Don't Already Know: Learning in Low- and High-Inflation Settings

Bernardo Candia, Olivier Coibion, Serafin Frache, Dmitris Georgarakos, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Geoff Kenny, Saten Kumar, Rodrigo Lluberas, Brent Meyer, Tiziano Ropele and Michael Weber

2023-7: The Role of Social Costs in Response to Labor Market Opportunities: Differences across Race

Kalee Burns and Julie Hotchkiss

2023-6a: The Fed Information Effect and Firm-Level Investment: Evidence and Theory

Alex Hsu, Indrajit Mitra, Yu Xu and Linghang Zeng

2023-6: The Profitability Channel of Monetary Policy Transmission

Alex Hsu, Indrajit Mitra and Linghang Zeng

2023-5: Estimates of Cost-Price Passthrough from Business Survey Data

Wändi Bruine de Bruin, Keshav Dogra, Sebastian Heise, Edward Knotek, Brent Meyer, Robert Rich, Raphael Schoenle, Giorgio Topa and Wilbert van der Klaauw

2023-17: A Critical Review of the Common Ownership Literature

Kristopher Gerardi, Michelle Lowry and Carola Schenone

2023-16: Forward Guidance and Its Effectiveness: A Macro Finance Shadow-Rate Framework

Junko Koeda and Bin Wei

2023-15: The Expansion of Varieties in the New Age of Advertising

Salome Baslandze, Jeremy Greenwood and Ricardo Marto

2023-14: Why Does the Yield Curve Predict GDP Growth? The Role of Banks

Camelia Minoiu, Andrés Schneider and Min Wei

2023-13: Uniform Priors for Impulse Responses

Jonas E. Arias, Juan F Rubio-Ramirez and Daniel Waggoner

2023-12: The Impact of Supply Chain Disruptions on Business Expectations during the Pandemic

Brent Meyer, Brian Prescott and Xuguang Simon Sheng

2023-11: Modeling Event Studies with Heterogeneous Treatment Effects

Laura Argys, Thomas Mroz and Melinda Pitts

2023-10: Monetary Policy Implementation with Ample Reserves

Gara Afonso, Kyungmin Kim, Antoine Martin, Ed Nosal, Simon Potter and Sam Schulhofer-Wohl

2023-06: The Profitability Channel of Monetary Policy Transmission

Alex Hsu, Indrajit Mitra and Linghang Zeng

2023-06: The Profitability Channel of Monetary Policy Transmission

Alex Hsu, Indrajit Mitra and Linghang Zeng

2023-04: Growing Electric Vehicle Adoption: Implications for Infrastructure Maintenance and the Tax Burden on Families of Different Funding Policies

Kalee Burns and Julie Hotchkiss

2023-03: Real Rigidities, Firm Dynamics, and Monetary Nonneutrality: The Role of Demand Shocks

S. Boragan Aruoba, Eugene Oue, Felipe Saffie and Jonathan Willis

2023-02: Diamond-Dybvig and Beyond: On the Instability of Banking

Chao Gu, Cyril Monnet, Ed Nosal and Randall Wright

2023-01: Sovereign Risk and Bank Lending: Theory and Evidence from a Natural Disaster

Yusuf Baskaya, Bryan Hardy, Ṣebnem Kalemli-Özcan and Vivian Yue

2022-9: Credit Card Debt Puzzle: Liquid Assets to Pay Bills

Claire Greene and Joanna Stavins

2022-8: Quantifying "Quantitative Tightening" (QT): How Many Rate Hikes Is QT Equivalent To?

Bin Wei

2022-7: The Shift to Remote Work Lessens Wage-Growth Pressures

Jose Maria Barrero, Nicholas Bloom, Steven Davis, Brent Meyer and Emil Mihaylov

2022-6: Is Our Fiscal System Discouraging Marriage? A New Look at the Marriage Tax

Elias Ilin, Laurence J. Kotlikoff and Melinda Pitts