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Why Mortgage Rates Exceed Treasury Yields

Paul Willen

No 26-3, Current Policy Perspectives from Federal Reserve Bank of Boston

Abstract: The mortgage spread—the gap between the 30-year fixed mortgage rate and the yield on 10-year U.S. Treasury notes—is currently about 200 basis points, or 2 percentage points. Mortgages and Treasury securities have different cash flows, credit risk, and lender intermediation margins, but even after those differences are accounted for, a large and volatile gap remains. In this brief, the author argues that this remaining gap largely reflects the price of the mortgage prepayment option—a borrower’s right to pay off their mortgage at any time without incurring a penalty.

Keywords: mortgage rate; mortgage-backed securities; Treasury yields; prepayment; yield curve (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E43 G21 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 7
Date: 2026-05-19
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