Fiscal retrenchment and the level of economic activity

Giovanni Olivei

No 99-3, Working Papers from Federal Reserve Bank of Boston

Abstract: I analyze the effects of an expected future reduction in government spending on the current level of economic activity. In a closed-economy dynamic general equilibrium setup with nominal rigidities, it is shown that expected future cuts in government spending generate an increase in current GDP. Nominal rigidities are an essential feature for the emergence of such a result. With perfect flexible prices but in an otherwise identical setup, an expected future decline in government spending entails no increase in the current level of economic activity.

Keywords: Expenditures, Public; Gross domestic product (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 1999
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-pbe and nep-pub
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