Working Papers

From Federal Reserve Bank of Boston
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14-17: Upskilling: do employers demand greater skill when skilled workers are plentiful?

Joshua Ballance, Alicia Modestino and Daniel Shoag

14-16: Labor market polarization over the business cycle

Christopher Foote and Richard W. Ryan

14-15: Vanishing procyclicality of productivity?: industry evidence

J. Christina Wang

14-14: Productivity and export market participation: evidence from Colombia

Camila Casas, Federico Diez, Alejandra Gonzalez-Ramirez and Stefany Moreno

14-13: House price growth when children are teenagers: a path to higher earnings?

Daniel Cooper and Maria Luengo-Prado

14-12: Saving for a rainy day: estimating the appropriate size of U.S. state budget stabilization funds

Bo Zhao

14-11: Smoothing state tax revenues over the business cycle: gauging fiscal needs and opportunities

Yolanda Kodrzycki

14-10: The forecasting power of consumer attitudes for consumer spending

Michelle Barnes and Giovanni Olivei

14-9: Measuring unfamiliar economic concepts: the case of prepaid card adoption

Marcin Hitczenko and Mingzhu Tai

14-8: How important is variability in consumer credit limits?

Scott Fulford

14-7: Foreign nurse importation to the United States and the supply of native registered nurses

Patricia Cortes and Jessica Pan

14-6: Financial frictions and the reaction of stock prices to monetary policy shocks

Ali Ozdagli

14-5: This is what's in your wallet... and here's how you use it

Tamás Briglevics and Scott Schuh

14-4: Consumer cash usage: a cross-country comparison with payment diary survey data

John Bagnall, David Bounie, Kim Huynh, Anneke Kosse, Tobias Schmidt, Scott Schuh and Helmut Stix

14-3: The ins and arounds in the U.S. housing market

Ruediger Bachmann and Daniel Cooper

14-2: Labor market transitions and the availability of unemployment insurance

Katharine Bradbury

14-1: Merchant steering of consumer payment choice: evidence from a 2012 Diary survey

Oz Shy and Joanna Stavins

13-26: The role of economic, fiscal, and financial shocks in the evolution of public sector pension funding

Robert Triest and Bo Zhao

13-25: Household inflation expectations and consumer spending: evidence from panel data

Mary Burke and Ali Ozdagli

13-24: An evaluation of the Federal Reserve estimates of the natural rate of unemployment in real time

Fabià Gumbau-Brisa and Giovanni Olivei

13-23: U.S. consumer demand for cash in the era of low interest rates and electronic payments

Tamás Briglevics and Scott Schuh

13-22: The cost of fiscal policy uncertainty: industry evidence of its impact on the labor market

J. Christina Wang

13-21: Technological progress, the \"user cost of money,\" and the real output of banks

Susanto Basu and J. Christina Wang

13-20: Optimal monetary policy under model uncertainty without commitment

Anna Orlik and Ignacio Presno

13-19: Not so fast: high-frequency financial data for macroeconomic event studies

Ali Ozdagli

13-18: Walking a tightrope: are U. S. state and local governments on a fiscally sustainable path?

David Coyne and Bo Zhao

13-17: Is bank debt special for the transmission of monetary policy? Evidence from the stock market

Filippo Ippolito, Ali Ozdagli and Ander Pérez-Orive

13-16: Optimal recall period length in consumer payment surveys

Marcin Hitczenko

13-15: Modeling anchoring effects in sequential Likert scale questions

Marcin Hitczenko

13-14: Affirmative action and stereotype threat

Anat Bracha, Alma Cohen and Lynn Conell-Price

13-13: How many cards do you use?

Oz Shy

13-12: The effect of foreclosure on Boston Public School student academic performance

Katharine Bradbury, Mary Burke and Robert Triest

13-11: How low can you go? Charity reporting when donations signal income and generosity

Anat Bracha and Lise Vesterlund

13-10: Enforcement and immigrant location choice

Tara Watson

13-9: Occupation-level income shocks and asset returns: their covariance and implications for portfolio choice

Steven Davis and Paul Willen

13-8: The effect of unemployment duration on future earnings and other outcomes

Daniel Cooper

13-7: The value to banks of small business lending

Dmytro Holod and Joe Peek

13-6: Payment choice with consumer panel data

Michael Cohen and Marc Rysman

13-5: Cyclical unemployment, structural unemployment

Peter Diamond

13-4: Window shopping

Oz Shy

13-3: Do real-time Okun's law errors predict GDP data revisions?

Michelle Barnes, Fabià Gumbau-Brisa and Giovanni Olivei

13-2: The power of sunspots: an experimental analysis

Dietmar Fehr, Frank Heinemann and Aniol Llorente-Saguer

13-1: The impact of managed care on the gender earnings gap among physicians

Alicia Modestino

12-19: Real expectations: replacing rational expectations with survey expectations in dynamic macro models

Jeffrey Fuhrer

12-18: Monetary shocks and stock returns: identification through the impossible trinity

Ali Ozdagli and Yifan Yu

12-17: Cyclical and sectoral transitions in the U.S. housing market

Ruediger Bachmann and Daniel Cooper

12-16: Predicting health behaviors with economic preferences and perceived control

Lynn Conell-Price and Julian Jamison

12-15: Uncertainty shocks in a model of effective demand

Susanto Basu and Brent Bundick

12-14: Explaining adoption and use of payment instruments by U. S. consumers

Sergei Koulayev, Marc Rysman, Scott Schuh and Joanna Stavins

12-13: Nice to be on the A-list

Yasushi Hamao, Kenji Kutsuna and Joe Peek