Downside and Upside Economic Uncertainty

Juan M. Londono and Sai Ma

No 2026-02-12-1, FEDS Notes from Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.)

Abstract: Over the last year, many forecasts have called out a slowdown in the U.S. economy driven mainly by heightened trade and geopolitical tensions. Instead, growth in the United States has remained quite solid. Real U.S. gross domestic product (GDP) grew at a strong annual rate of 3.8 percent in the second quarter of 2025.

Date: 2026-02-12
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:fip:fedgfn:102803

DOI: 10.17016/2380-7172.3993

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