Detecting Tariff Effects on Consumer Prices in Real Time – Part II

Robert Minton, Madeleine Ray and Mariano A. Somale
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Robert Minton: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/robert-j-minton.htm
Mariano A. Somale: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/mariano-a-somale.htm

No 2026-04-08-4, FEDS Notes from Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.)

Abstract: Major changes in U.S. trade policy last year have led to a surge of interest in the timely assessment of the economic effects of tariffs. Minton and Somale (2025) developed a methodology to detect tariff effects on consumer prices in real time that relies solely on publicly available data.

Date: 2026-04-08
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:fip:fedgfn:103071

DOI: 10.17016/2380-7172.4040

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