International Finance Discussion Papers

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96661: Forward Looking Exporters

François de Soyres, Erik Frohm, Emily Highkin and Carter Mix

96660: The Price of Macroeconomic Uncertainty: Evidence from Daily Options

Juan M. Londono and Mehrdad Samadi

2022: Credit access and relational contracts: An experiment testing informational and contractual frictions for Pakistani farmers

Ali Choudhary and Anil K. Jain

1405: How do Firms in Different Sectors Organize their Supply Chains? Evidence from Transaction-Level Import Data

Sebastian Heise, Justin Pierce, Georg Schaur and Peter K. Schott

1404: Estimating the Volume of Counterfeit U.S. Currency in Circulation

Ruth A. Judson

1403: Geopolitics Meets Monetary Policy: Decoding Their Impact on Cross-Border Bank Lending

Swapan-Kumar Pradhan, Viktors Stebunovs, Elod Takats and Judit Temesvary

1402: Corporate Debt Maturity Matters for Monetary Policy

Joachim Jungherr, Matthias Meier, Timo Reinelt and Immo Schott

1401: Foreign economic policy uncertainty and U.S. equity returns

Mohammad Jahan-Parvar, Yuriy Kitsul, Jamil Rahman and Beth Anne Wilson

1400: How Does Fiscal Policy affect the Transmission of Monetary Policy into Cross-border Bank Lending? Cross-country Evidence

Swapan-Kumar Pradhan, Elod Takats and Judit Temesvary

1399: The Global (Mis)Allocation of Capital

Carol C. Bertaut, Stephanie E. Curcuru, Ester Faia and Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas

1398: New Evidence on the US Excess Return on Foreign Portfolios

Carol C. Bertaut, Stephanie E. Curcuru, Ester Faia and Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas

1397: Household Excess Savings and the Transmission of Monetary Policy

Thiago Revil T. Ferreira, Nils Gornemann and Julio L. Ortiz

1396: Arepas are not Tacos: On the Labor Markets of Latin America

Maria Aristizabal-Ramirez, Cezar Santos and Alejandra Torres

1395: Limited (Energy) Supply, Monetary Policy, and Sunspots

Nils Gornemann, Sebastian Hildebrand and Keith Kuester

1394: The Effect of Export Market Access on Labor Market Power: Firm-level Evidence from Vietnam

Trang T. Hoang, Devashish Mitra and Hoang Pham

1393: Tax Heterogeneity and Misallocation

Baris Kaymak and Immo Schott

1392: Monetary Policy without Moving Interest Rates: The Fed Non-Yield Shock

Christoph Boehm and T. Niklas Kroner

1391: Exchange Rate Disconnect and the Trade Balance

Martin Bodenstein, Pablo Cuba-Borda, Nils Gornemann and Ignacio Presno

1390: Corporate Bond Issuance Over Financial Stress Episodes: A Global Perspective

Valentina Bruno, Michele H. Dathan and Yuriy Kitsul

1389: Tariff Rate Uncertainty and the Structure of Supply Chains

Sebastian Heise, Justin Pierce, Georg Schaur and Peter K. Schott

1388: Inequality and Asset Prices during Sudden Stops

Sergio Villalvazo

1387: Demand for U.S Banknotes at Home and Abroad: A Post-Covid Update

Ruth A. Judson

1386: On the GDP Effects of Severe Physical Hazards

Martin Bodenstein and Mikaël Scaramucci

1385: Lessons from Nowcasting GDP across the World

Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia, Matteo Luciani and Michele Modugno

1384: The International Spillovers of Synchronous Monetary Tightening

Dario Caldara, Francesco Ferrante, Matteo Iacoviello, Andrea Prestipino and Albert Queraltó

1383: Trade Uncertainty and U.S. Bank Lending

Ricardo Correa, Julian di Giovanni, Linda Goldberg and Camelia Minoiu

1382: Committing to Grow: Privatizations and Firm Dynamics in East Germany

Ufuk Akcigit, Harun Alp, André Diegmann (geb. Nolte) and Nicolas Serrano-Velarde

1381: Global Flight to Safety, Business Cycles, and the Dollar

Martin Bodenstein, Pablo Cuba-Borda, Nils Gornemann, Ignacio Presno, Andrea Prestipino, Albert Queraltó and Andrea Raffo

1380: Who's Most Exposed to International Shocks? Estimating Differences in Import Price Sensitivity across U.S. Demographic Groups

Colin Hottman and Ryan Monarch

1379: Corporate Tax Cuts and the Decline of the Manufacturing Labor Share

Baris Kaymak and Immo Schott

1378: Exchange Rate Elasticities of International Tourism and the Role of Dominant Currency Pricing

Ding Ding and Yannick Timmer

1375: What is Measured in National Accounts?

François de Soyres, Alexandre Gaillard and Henry L. Young

1374: Identifying Financial Crises Using Machine Learning on Textual Data

Mary Chen, Matthew DeHaven, Isabel Kitschelt, Seung Jung Lee and Martin Sicilian

1373: In Search of Dominant Drivers of the Real Exchange Rate

Wataru Miyamoto, Thuy Lan Nguyen and Hyunseung Oh

1372: Effects of Information Overload on Financial Markets: How Much Is Too Much?

Alejandro Bernales, Marcela Valenzuela and Ilknur Zer

1371: The US, Economic News, and the Global Financial Cycle

Christoph Boehm and T. Niklas Kroner

1370: Self-Fulfilling Debt Crises with Long Stagnations

Joao Ayres, Gaston Navarro, Juan Pablo Nicolini and Pedro Teles

1369: The Inflationary Effects of Sectoral Reallocation

Francesco Ferrante, Sebastian Graves and Matteo Iacoviello

1368: What are Large Global Banks Doing About Climate Change?

Daniel Beltran and Pinar Uysal

1365: Passive Ownership and Short Selling

Pekka Honkanen, Daniel Schmidt and Bastian von Beschwitz

1364: Financing Repeat Borrowers: Designing Credible Incentives for Today and Tomorrow

Anil K. Jain

1362: Visible Hands: Professional Asset Managers' Expectations and the Stock Market in China

John Ammer, John Rogers, Gang Wang and Yang Yu

1361: Sectoral Shocks, Reallocation, and Labor Market Policies

Joaquin Garcia-Cabo, Anna Lipinska and Gaston Navarro

1360: What Happens in China Does Not Stay in China

William Barcelona, Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia, Jasper Hoek and Eva Van Leemput

1359: Geopolitics and the U.S. Dollar's Future as a Reserve Currency

Colin Weiss

1358: The impact of risk cycles on business cycles: a historical view

Jon Danielsson, Marcela Valenzuela and Ilknur Zer

1357: Market Effects of Central Bank Credit Markets Support Programs in Europe

Yuriy Kitsul, Oleg Sokolinskiy and Jonathan Wright

1356: Debt Overhang and the Retail Apocalypse

Ricardo Correa, Jack Liebersohn and Martin Sicilian

1355: Search Frictions, Labor Supply, and the Asymmetric Business Cycle

Domenico Ferraro and Giuseppe Fiori

1354: Financial Failure and Depositor Quality: Evidence from Building and Loan Associations in California

Todd Messer