Central bank independence, inflation and growth in transition economies

Prakash Loungani and Nathan Sheets

No 519, International Finance Discussion Papers from Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.)

Abstract: In this paper, we document two empirical relationships that have emerged as the former communist countries have taken steps to transform their economies from command systems to market-based systems. First, increased central bank independence has tended to improve inflation performance. Second, high inflation has adversely affected real activity. More specifically, in the first section of this paper, we develop indices of central bank independence (CBI) for twelve transition economies and examine the relationship between CBI and inflation performance across these countries. Statistical evidence suggests that the transition economies with more independent central banks have achieved lower inflation than their counterparts. The second section of this paper studies the relationship between inflation and growth in twenty-six transition economies. We present econometric evidence indicating that reducing inflation helps stabilize economic activity, following the sharp output declines that occur during the initial stages of transition. The paper conc1udes that establishing an independent central bank is a concrete institutional reform that may reduce inflation and thus facilitate economic growth.

Keywords: Banks and banking, Central; Economic development (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 1995
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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Related works:
Journal Article: Central Bank Independence, Inflation, and Growth in Transition Economies (1997)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:fip:fedgif:519

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