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Breaks in the variability and co-movement of G-7 economic growth

Brian Doyle () and Jon Faust
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Jon Faust: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.)

No 786, International Finance Discussion Papers from Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.)

Abstract: This paper investigates breaks in the variability and co-movement of output, consumption, and investment in the G-7 economies. In contrast with most other papers on co-movement, we test for changes in co-movement allowing for breaks in mean and variance. Despite claims that rising integration among these economies has increased output correlations among them, we find no clear evidence of an increase in correlation of growth rates of output, consumption, or investment. This finding is true even for the United States and Canada, which have seen a tremendous increase in bilateral trade shares, and for the members of the euro area in the G-7.

Keywords: Economic development; Group of Seven countries (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2003, Revised 2003
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-eec, nep-ets and nep-mac
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Journal Article: Breaks in the Variability and Comovement of G-7 Economic Growth (2005) Downloads
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