Staff Report

From Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis
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659: Self-Fulfilling Debt Crises with Long Stagnations

Joao Ayres, Gaston Navarro, Juan Pablo Nicolini and Pedro Teles

658: The Incredible Taylor Principle

Pablo Neumeyer and Juan Pablo Nicolini

657: The Influence of Occupational Licensing on Workforce Transitions to Retirement

Morris M. Kleiner and Yun Taek Oh

656: Discrete Choice, Complete Markets, and Equilibrium

Simon Mongey and Michael E. Waugh

655: How Do Households Respond to Income Shocks?

Dirk Krueger, Egor Malkov and Fabrizio Perri

654: Preemptive Austerity with Rollover Risk

Juan Carlos Conesa and Timothy Kehoe

653: Heterogeneous Agent Trade

Michael Waugh

652: The Great Resignation and Optimal Unemployment Insurance

Zhifeng Cai and Jonathan Heathcote

651: The Impact of Multinationals Along the Job Ladder

Ragnhild Balsvik, Doireann Fitzgerald and Stephanie Haller

650: The Recent Rise in US Inflation: Policy Lessons from the Quantity Theory

Han Gao and Juan Pablo Nicolini

649: The Impact of Vaccines and Behavior on U.S. Cumulative Deaths from COVID-19

Andrew Atkeson

648: More Unequal We Stand? Inequality Dynamics in the United States, 1967–2021

Jonathan Heathcote, Fabrizio Perri, Giovanni L. Violante and Lichen Zhang

647: Taxes, Regulations, and the Value of U.S. Corporations: A Reassessment

Ellen McGrattan

646: Pareto Improving Fiscal and Monetary Policies: Samuelson in the New Keynesian Model

Mark Aguiar, Manuel Amador and Cristina Arellano

645: The Labor Market Effects of Occupational Licensing in the Public Sector

Morris M. Kleiner and Wenchen Wang

644: On the Efficiency of Competitive Equilibria with Pandemics

Varadarajan Chari, Rishabh Kirpalani and Luis Perez

643: A Ramsey Theory of Financial Distortions

Marco Bassetto and Wei Cui

642: What Can Time-Series Regressions Tell Us About Policy Counterfactuals?

Alisdair McKay and Christian Wolf

641: A Monetary-Fiscal Theory of Sudden Inflations

Marco Bassetto and David Miller

640: The Distributional Impact of the Minimum Wage in the Short and Long Run

Erik Hurst, Patrick Kehoe, Elena Pastorino and Thomas Winberry

639: The End of Privilege: A Reexamination of the Net Foreign Asset Position of the United States

Andrew Atkeson, Jonathan Heathcote and Fabrizio Perri

638: Online Appendix for: How Do Voters Respond to Welfare vis-à-vis Public Good Programs? An Empirical Test for Clientelism

Pranab Bardhan, Sandip Mitra, Dilip Mookherjee and Anusha Nath

637: Appendix for: Optimal Cooperative Taxation in the Global Economy

Varadarajan Chari, Juan Pablo Nicolini and Pedro Teles

636: Optimal Age-Based Vaccination and Economic Mitigation Policies for the Second Phase of the Covid-19 Pandemic

Andrew Glover, Jonathan Heathcote and Dirk Krueger

635: The Welfare Effects of Encouraging Rural-Urban Migration

David Lagakos, Ahmed Mobarak and Michael Waugh

634: Online Appendix for: Two Illustrations of the Quantity Theory of Money Reloaded

Han Gao, Mariano Kulish and Juan Pablo Nicolini

633: Two Illustrations of the Quantity Theory of Money Reloaded

Han Gao, Mariano Kulish and Juan Pablo Nicolini

632: COVID-19 Vaccination and Financial Frictions

Cristina Arellano, Yan Bai and Gabriel Mihalache

631: Constructing Pure-Exchange Economies with Many Equilibria

Pascal Gauthier, Timothy Kehoe and Erwan Quintin

630: Online Appendix for: Comment on "Star Wars: The Empirics Strike Back"

Adam Gorajek and Benjamin Malin

629: Comment on "Star Wars: The Empirics Strike Back"

Adam Gorajek and Benjamin Malin

628: Comment on Iovino, La’O and Mascarenhas, “Optimal Monetary Policy and Disclosure with an Informationally-Constrained Central Banker”

Varadarajan Chari and Luis Perez

627: Pandemic Lockdown: The Role of Government Commitment

Christian Moser and Pierre Yared

626: Practical Optimal Income Taxation

Jonathan Heathcote and Hitoshi Tsujiyama

625: Micro Risks and Pareto Improving Policies with Low Interest Rates

Mark Aguiar, Manuel Amador and Cristina Arellano

624: Clientelistic Politics and Pro-Poor Targeting: Rules versus Discretionary Budgets

Dilip Mookherjee and Anusha Nath

623: The Effect of Constitutional Provisions on Education Policy and Outcomes

Scott Dallman, Anusha Nath and Filip Premik

622: Lumpy Durable Consumption Demand and the Limited Ammunition of Monetary Policy

Alisdair McKay and Johannes Wieland

621: Online Appendix: Star Wars at Central Banks

Joel Bank, Hamish Fitchett, Adam Gorajek, Benjamin Malin and Andrew Staib

620: Star Wars at Central Banks

Joel Bank, Hamish Fitchett, Adam Gorajek, Benjamin Malin and Andrew Staib

619: A Parsimonious Behavioral SEIR Model of the 2020 COVID Epidemic in the United States and the United Kingdom

Andrew Atkeson

618: Behavior and the Transmission of COVID-19

Andrew Atkeson, Karen Kopecky and Tao Zha

617: Credit Frictions in the Great Recession

Patrick Kehoe, Pierlauro Lopez, Virgiliu Midrigan and Elena Pastorino

616: Economic Benefits of COVID-19 Screening Tests

Andrew Atkeson, Michael Droste, Michael J. Mina and James Stock

615: How Should Tax Progressivity Respond to Rising Income Inequality?

Jonathan Heathcote, Kjetil Storesletten and Giovanni L. Violante

614: Is There a Stable Relationship between Unemployment and Future Inflation?

Terry Fitzgerald, Callum Jones, Mariano Kulish and Juan Pablo Nicolini

613: Jacks of All Trades and Masters of One: Declining Search Frictions and Unequal Growth

Paolo Martellini and Guido Menzio

612: Online Appendix: Sweat Equity in U.S. Private Business

Anmol Bhandari and Ellen McGrattan

611: Four Stylized Facts about COVID-19

Andrew Atkeson, Karen Kopecky and Tao Zha

610: Understanding 100 Years of the Evolution of Top Wealth Shares in the U.S.: What is the Role of Family Firms?

Andrew Atkeson and Magnus Irie