Three contributions to the theory of decision under uncertainty

Edward Green and In-Uck Park

No 558, Working Papers from Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis

Abstract: An intuitively natural consistency condition for contingent plans is necessary and sufficient for a contingent plan to be rationalized by maximization of conditional expected utility. One alternative theory of choice under uncertainty, the weighted-utility theory developed by Chew Soo Hong (1983) does not entail that contingent plans will generally satisfy this condition. Another alternative theory, the minimax theory as formulated by Savage (1972), does entail the consistency condition (at least for singleton-valued plans). ; Earlier title: Bayes contingent plans

Keywords: Contingency; plans (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 1995
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