Do Job Postings Show Early Labor‑Market Effects of AI?

Richard Audoly, Miles Guerin and Giorgio Topa

No 20260514, Liberty Street Economics from Federal Reserve Bank of New York

Abstract: As generative AI tools become more widely used, a key issue is the technology’s impact on labor demand. Where might we find evidence of that impact? In this post, we examine whether early evidence of AI’s effect on the labor market appears in firms’ job postings. We combine an occupational measure of AI exposure with detailed U.S. job-posting data from Lightcast, which aggregates listings from company career pages, national and local job boards, and job-listing aggregators. Using this data, we test whether postings for AI-exposed occupations declined disproportionately since the release of ChatGPT in late 2022. We find that, while overall hiring has slowed since then, the evidence from job postings provides little indication of a distinct AI-driven decline in labor demand.

Keywords: artificial intelligence (AI); labor demand; job postings; task automation (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: J23 O33 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2026-05-14
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ain
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DOI: 10.59576/lse.20260514

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