Does a Data Quirk Inflate China’s Travel Services Deficit?
Matthew Higgins and
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Anna Wong: University of Chicago
Matthew Higgins: National Bureau of Economic Research
No 20190807, Liberty Street Economics from Federal Reserve Bank of New York
Chinese residents are increasingly traveling to see the rest of the world, logging a total of 162 million foreign visits in 2018, up from 57 million in 2010. Increased travel spending by Chinese residents is acting to reduce the country's trade surplus because such spending is counted as a services import. However, there appears to be a quirk in the Chinese data that results in a significant understatement of the offsetting spending by visitors to China (a services export). According to other Chinese data, this understatement totaled $85 billion in 2018. If so, China's deficit in travel services is smaller than officially reported, and its trade surplus correspondingly larger.
Keywords: China; international; trade; service; balance; of; payments; imports; exports; tourism; current; account; balance (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F00 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
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