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Consumer Credit Demand, Supply, and Unmet Need during the Pandemic

Jessica Lu and Wilbert van der Klaauw

No 20210520, Liberty Street Economics from Federal Reserve Bank of New York

Abstract: It is common during recessions to observe significant slowdowns in credit flows to consumers. It is more difficult to establish how much of these declines are the consequence of a decrease in credit demand versus a tightening in supply. In this post, we draw on survey data to examine how consumer credit demand and supply have changed since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic. The evidence reveals a clear initial decline and recent rebound in consumer credit demand. We also observe a modest but persistent tightening in credit supply during the pandemic, especially for credit cards. Mortgage refinance applications are the main exception to this general pattern, showing a steep increase in demand and some easing in availability. Despite tightened standards, we find no evidence of a meaningful increase in unmet credit need.

Keywords: credit demand; credit access; pandemic; COVID-19 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D14 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021-05-20
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ban
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