What Happens to U.S. Activity and Inflation if China’s Property Sector Leads to a Crisis?

Ozge Akinci, Hunter Clark, Jeffrey Dawson, Matthew Higgins, Silvia Miranda-Agrippino, Ramya Nallamotu and Ethan Nourbash

No 20240326, Liberty Street Economics from Federal Reserve Bank of New York

Abstract: A previous post explored the potential implications for U.S. growth and inflation of a manufacturing-led boom in China. This post considers spillovers to the U.S. from a downside scenario, one in which China’s ongoing property sector slump takes another leg down and precipitates an economic hard landing and financial crisis.

Keywords: China; international; global trade; trade; financial crises (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F0 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024-03-26
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cna
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