Rating risks: risk and uncertainty in an opaque industry

Donald Morgan

No 105, Staff Reports from Federal Reserve Bank of New York

Abstract: The pattern of disagreement between bond raters suggests that bank and insurance firms are inherently more opaque than other firms. Moody's and Standard and Poor's split more frequently over these financial intermediaries, and the splits are more lopsided, as theory here predicts. Uncertainty over the banks stems from their assets, loans and trading assets in particular, the risks of which are hard to observe or easy to change. Banks' high leverage, which invites agency problems, compounds the uncertainty over their assets. Our findings bear on both the existence and reform of bank regulation.

Keywords: Credit ratings; Bank assets; Risk (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2000
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