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Bankruptcy and Delinquency in a Model of Unsecured Debt

Kartik Athreya, Juan Sanchez, Xuan Tam () and Eric Young

No 16-12, Working Paper from Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond

Abstract: This paper documents and interprets two facts central to the dynamics of informal default or \"delinquency\" on unsecured consumer debt. First, delinquency does not mean a persistent cessation of payment. In particular, we observe that for individuals 60 to 90 days late on payments, 85% make payments during the next quarter that allow them to avoid entering more severe delinquency. Second, many in delinquency (40%) have smaller debt obligations one quarter later. To understand these facts, we develop a theoretically and institutionally plausible model of debt delinquency and bankruptcy. Our model reproduces the dynamics of delinquency and suggests an interpretation of the data in which lenders frequently (in roughly 40% of cases) reset the terms for delinquent borrowers, typically involving partial debt forgiveness, rather than a blanket imposition of the \"penalty rates\" most unsecured credit contracts specify.

JEL-codes: E43 E44 G33 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 58 pages
Date: 2016-12-01
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cfn, nep-dge, nep-law and nep-mac
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (16)

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Working Paper: Bankruptcy and delinquency in a model of unsecured debt (2012) Downloads
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