Breakeven Employment Growth: Estimate Range Widens in 2026

Alexander Bick

On the Economy from Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

Abstract: Volatile immigration projections create uncertainty in the 2026 breakeven employment growth estimate, which now ranges from 15,000 to 87,000 jobs per month.

Keywords: immigration; breakeven employment growth; labor market estimates; economic uncertainty (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2026-03-24
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:fip:l00001:102925

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