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Global Investigation of Return Autocorrelation and its Determinants

Pawan Jain () and Wen-Jun Xue ()
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Pawan Jain: University of Wyoming
Wen-Jun Xue: Department of Economics, Florida International University

No 1704, Working Papers from Florida International University, Department of Economics

Abstract: We estimate global return autocorrelation by using the quantile autocorrelation model and investigate its determinants across 43 stock markets from 1980 to 2013. Although our results document a decline in autocorrelation across the entire sample period for all countries, return autocorrelation is significantly larger in emerging markets than in developed markets. The results further document that larger and liquid stock markets have lower return autocorrelation. We also find that price limits in most emerging markets result in higher return autocorrelation. We show that the disclosure requirement, public enforcement, investor psychology, and market characteristics significantly affect return autocorrelation. Our results document that investors from different cultural backgrounds and regulation regimes react differently to corporate disclosers, which affects return autocorrelation.

Keywords: Return autocorrelation; Global stock markets; Quantile autoregression model; Legal environment; Investor psychology; Hofstede’s cultural dimensions (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G12 G14 G15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 47 pages
Date: 2017-04
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