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(UBS Pensions series 17) Long-Term Value at Risk

Andrew Cairns and Kevin Dowd ()

FMG Discussion Papers from Financial Markets Group

Abstract: This paper investigates the estimation of long-term VaR. It also suggests a simple approach to the estimation of long-term VaR that avoids problems associated with the square-root rule for extrapolating VaR, as well as those associated with attempts to extrapolate day-to-day volatility forecasts over longer horizons.

Date: 2003-09
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