Working Paper 02-06 - An Evaluation of the Risks Surrounding the 2006-2012 NIME Economic Outlook: Illustrative Stochastic Simulations

Eric Meyermans and Patrick Van Brusselen

Working Papers from Federal Planning Bureau, Belgium

Abstract: In this Working Paper, we describe how we used stochastic simulation to evaluate the risks surrounding the January 2006 nime Economic Outlook (neo) for the world economy. We summarise the main results by showing confidence intervals around the baseline projection as well as probabilities that certain events will occur. The results presented in this Working Paper are of an illustrative nature and do not constitute an update of the January 2006 nime Economic Outlook.

Keywords: Macroeconometric world model; Stochastic simulation; Euro area; World economy; Outlook (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C15 C5 E3 F4 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2006-04-15
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:fpb:wpaper:200602

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