Livelihood alternatives to labor migration: A choice experiment in Tajikistan

Isabel B. Lambrecht, Sharanya Rajiv, Wouter De Block, Tanzila Ergasheva, Miet Maertens, Mohru Mardonova and Kaat Van Hoyweghen

No 2412, IFPRI discussion papers from International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI)

Abstract: Labor migration is often driven by a need for income, and can also be motivated by a desire for higher earnings. A naïve assumption is therefore that an increase in local livelihood alternatives might reduce outmigration, something which has been found to hold true in some settings, but not in others. This study employs a discrete choice experiment (DCE) with 408 rural respondents in Tajikistan—a country heavily reliant on remittances from abroad—to assess whether specific local income-generating opportunities, such as those offered through cash-for-work programs or through the provision of additional farmland, might affect stated preferences regarding migration. The study explores trade-offs between local income generating opportunities (wage employment, access to farmland, and irrigation infrastructure) and migration restrictions, i.e., hypothetical constraints on household members migrating abroad for a given duration. We rely on stated rather than revealed preferences to examine these trade-offs. Our findings lend some support to the idea that households are willing to accept outmigration restrictions in return for improved local income-generation opportunities, either through wage employment or own-farming. Yet, findings are heterogeneous and depend on the households’ current and anticipated reliance on labor migration.

Keywords: migration; livelihoods; land; income transfers; remittances; public works; Tajikistan; Central Asia (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2026-04-24
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:fpr:ifprid:182632

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