Do Country Centrality and Similarity to China matter in the Allocation of Belt and Road Projects?

Kaku Attah Damoah, Giorgia Giovannetti and Enrico Marvasi

Working Papers - Economics from Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Scienze per l'Economia e l'Impresa

Abstract: We analyze the relationship between trade patterns and the allocation of investment projects carried out under the China-led Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). Rooted on a novel database, we construct the intermediate trade network and assess its role in the allocation of the projects. Investments tend to concentrate in countries located in central nodes of the international production networks as well as towards suppliers of intermediate goods whose revealed comparative advantage (RCA) overlaps with China. High income countries closer to destination markets tend to attract fewer but larger investments. Controlling for gravity variables as well as for political proximity to China adds explanatory power without affecting the results on the importance of trade. The BRI represents an opportunity for China to upgrade its exports and for the countries receiving investments to enhance their participation in GVC with possible positive impact on development.

Keywords: Belt and Road; China; global value chains; trade in intermediates; network-centrality. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F14 F15 F21 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 34 pages
Date: 2021
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cna, nep-int and nep-ppm
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Journal Article: Do country centrality and similarity to China matter in the allocation of belt and road projects? (2022)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:frz:wpaper:wp2021_03.rdf

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