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Stocks are a Good Hedge for Inflation (In the Long Run)

Jacob Boudoukh and Matthew Richardson

Rodney L. White Center for Financial Research Working Papers from Wharton School Rodney L. White Center for Financial Research

Abstract: It is a common empirical finding that stocks are not a good hedge for either ex-ante or ex-post inflation at short horizons. In contrast, using two centuries of data, we demonstrate that there is a positive relation between stock returns and inflation at long horizons. This result is reconciled with the anomalous short run evidence by appealing to the proxy-effect in the context of a consumption based asset pricing model.

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