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The Russian Financial Market in 2021

Alexander Abramov, Alexander Radygin and Maria Chernova
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Alexander Abramov: RANEPA

Published Papers from Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy

Abstract: The market for Russian stocks was characterized by growth nearly throughout the whole year 2021; however, starting from November, it began to display a trend towards its downward adjustment. As shown in Fig. 1, among the 43 national stock indexes denominated in different currencies around the world, a positive annual return in 2021 was demonstrated by the composite indexes of 33 countries. The highest growth was achieved by the Argentina index (33.5%), followed closely by the S&P 500 (26.9%). The growth of Russia’s indexes, the RTS and IMOEX, was almost the same: 15.0% and 15.1%, respectively. However, over the first two months of 2022, the situation changed significantly: in January-February, IMOEX fell by a record 38.4%, and the RTS Index, by 41.3%. Over the same period of 2022, a majority of the 43 national stock indexes moved downward, except only a few of them, which were mainly those of developing countries: Argentina, Brazil, Greece, Malaysia, Norway, Singapore, Turkey, the Philippines, and the RSA. The main reason behind this massive adjustment of national stock indexes was the announcement, in mid-December 2021, of the leaders of the US Federal Reserve System (FRS) that in March 2022 they planned to curtail the current quantitative easing program, and so there was a high probability that the interest rates set by the Central Bank would begin to climb.

Keywords: Russian economy; stock market; bond market; corporate bond market; derivatives market; private investors (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G01 G12 G18 G21 G24 G28 G32 G33 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 82 pages
Date: 2022, Revised 2022
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cis and nep-sea
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https://www.iep.ru/files/RePEc/gai/ppaper/ppaper-2022-1197.pdf Revised Version, 2022 (application/pdf)

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