From south to north…and beyond: Educational selectivity and migration trajectories in Italy

Roberto Basile (), Francesca Centofanti () and Francesca Licari ()
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Roberto Basile: Università Sapienza di Roma - Dipartimento di Studi Giuridici ed Economici
Francesca Centofanti: Università di Roma Tor Vergata
Francesca Licari: Italian National Institute of Statistics

No 73, Public Finance Research Papers from Istituto di Economia e Finanza, DSGE, Sapienza University of Rome

Abstract: This paper analyzes the migration trajectories of young individuals born in Southern Italy who moved to the North between 2011 and 2014. Using longitudinal microdata and discretetime competing risks models, we examine whether these internal migrants are more likely to return to the South or emigrate abroad. Results reveal a strong educational gradient: highly educated individuals are significantly more likely to use the North as a springboard for international migration, while less-educated individuals tend to return home. These findings shed light on the dynamic interplay between internal and international mobility, and the enduring challenges of brain drain in the Mezzogiorno.

Keywords: Migration trajectories; Mezzogiorno of Italy; Competing Risk Models (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 30 pages
Date: 2025-11
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-mig
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:gfe:pfrp00:00073

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