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Cumulative Climate Shocks and Migratory Flows: Evidence from Sub-Saharan Africa

Salvatore Di Falco; Anna B. Kis; Martina Viarengo

No 73-2022, CIES Research Paper series from Centre for International Environmental Studies, The Graduate Institute

Abstract: We re-examine the effects of negative weather anomalies during the growing season on the decision to migrate in rural households in five sub-Saharan African countries. To this end we combine a multi-country household panel dataset with high-resolution gridded precipitation data. We find that while the effect of recent adverse weather shocks is on average modest, the cumulative effect of a persistent exposure to droughts over several years leads to a significant increase in the probability to migrate. The results show that more frequent adverse shocks can have more significant and long-lasting consequences in challenging economic environments.

Pages: 34 pages
Date: 2021-04-08
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-agr, nep-dev, nep-env and nep-int
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