Trade Liberalization and the Great Labor Reallocation
Yuan Zi ()
No 18-2016, IHEID Working Papers from Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies
Abstract:
The extent to which a country can benefit from trade openness crucially depends on its ease of reallocating resources. However, we know little about the role of domestic frictions in shapingthe effects of trade policies. I address this question by analyzing the impact of tariff reductions on the spatial allocation of labor in China, and how this impact depends on migration frictions that stem from China's household registration system (hukou). I first provide reduced-form evidence that input trade liberalization has induced significant spatial labor reallocation in China, with a stronger effect in regions with less hukou frictions. Then, I construct and estimate a quantitative spatial model with input-output linkages and hukou frictions to examine the general equilibrium effects of tariff reductions and perform counterfactuals. The quantitative exercise shows that trade liberalization increases China's welfare by 0.63%. Abolishing the hukou system leads to a direct welfare improvement of 1.51%. Additionally, it increases gains from tariff reductions by 2% and alleviates its negative distributional consequences. In this process, I develop a novel measure of migration frictions associated with the hukou system.
Keywords: input trade liberalization; spatial labor reallocation; hukou frictions; migration (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F11 F13 F16 O15 R23 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 66 pages
Date: 2016-11-08
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-int, nep-mig and nep-tra
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (7)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:gii:giihei:heidwp18-2016
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