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Are There Classical Business Cycles?

Michael Reiter and Ulrich Woitek

Working Papers from Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow

Abstract: The aim of this paper is to test formally the classical business cycle hypothesis, using data from industrialized countries for the time period since 1960. The hypoth- esis is characterized by the view that the cyclical structure in GDP is concentrated in the investment series: mixed investment has typically a long cycle, while the cycle in inventory investment is shorter. To check the robustness of our results, we sub- ject the data for 15 OECD countries to a variety of detrending techniques. While the hypothesis is not con rmed uniformly for all countries, there is a considerably high number for which the data display the predicted pattern. None of the coun- tries shows a pattern which can be interpreted as a clear rejection of the classical hypothesis.

Date: 1999-02
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3)

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