The Relationship Between USD/EUR Official Exchange Rates And Implied Exchange Rates From The Bitcoin Market

Helder Sebastião and Pedro Godinho ()

No 2020-02, CeBER Working Papers from Centre for Business and Economics Research (CeBER), University of Coimbra

Abstract: We examine the long- and short-run relationships between USD/EUR official rates and implicit exchange rates, through Bitcoin as a currency vehicle, over the period from March 07, 2016 to November 22, 2019. The results show that the two exchange rates are cointegrated and that the cointegrating vector is not statistically different from the theoretical one that results from the law of one price. In the short-run, the implied rate Granger-causes the official reference rate. Our main conclusion is that Bitcoin USD and EUR prices incorporate fundamental information from the USD/EUR official exchange rate.

Keywords: Bitcoin; USD/EUR; Exchange rates; Cointegration; Forecasting. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G14 G15 G23 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 10 pages
Date: 2020-02
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ets and nep-pay
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:gmf:papers:2020-02

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