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The Impact of the Chinese Exchange Policy on Foreign Trade with the European Union

Ana Cardoso () and António Portugal Duarte
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Ana Cardoso: Faculty of Economics, University of Coimbra, Portugal

No 2015-09, GEMF Working Papers from GEMF, Faculty of Economics, University of Coimbra

Abstract: The aim of this paper is to analyze the impact of the Chinese foreign exchange policy on foreign trade with the European Union. After describing the importance of the exchange rate in an open economy and some of the methodologies employed to calculate its equilibrium value, we examine whether the Chinese competitiveness is due to the existence of misalignment (undervaluation) of its exchange rate, or rather, to other sources of competitiveness. For this purpose, we use a Vector Error Correction (VEC) model to estimate a long-run exports equation. The empirical results indicate that over the past few years, Chinese exports have benefited from an ‘unfair’ competitive advantage resulting from the manipulation of its currency value.

Keywords: Competitiveness; China; European Union; foreign trade; misalignments; real exchange rate. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C39 F10 O24 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 31 pages
Date: 2015-04
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Journal Article: The impact of the Chinese exchange policy on foreign trade with the European Union (2017) Downloads
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