Information Asymmetries and Outside Options on Election Day: Theory and Evidence from Venezuela’s 2024 Election Fraud

Jose Morales-Arilla () and Zinedine Partipilo Cornielles ()
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Jose Morales-Arilla: School of Government and Public Transformation, Tecnológico de Monterrey
Zinedine Partipilo Cornielles: Department of Economics, Harvard University

No 39, Working Paper Series of the School of Government and Public Transformation from School of Governement and Public Transformation

Abstract: El estudio analiza cómo las asimetrías de información durante la noche electoral pueden facilitar el fraude en regímenes autoritarios. A partir de las elecciones venezolanas de 2024, reconstruye los flujos de información del gobierno y la oposición. Los resultados muestran que el régimen supo antes que su derrota era irreversible, mientras la oposición permaneció incierta, creando una ventana estratégica para retrasar resultados y sostener un fraude postelectoral.

Keywords: autoritarismo competitivo; fraude electoral; asimetrías de información; elecciones; Venezuela. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 67 pages
Date: 2026-08
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https://egobiernoytp.tec.mx/sites/default/files/20 ... Options_Election.pdf First version, 2026 (application/pdf)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:gnt:wpaper:39

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