Using tennis rankings to predict performance in upcoming tournaments

Gerard Kuper, Gerardus Sierksma and Frits Spieksma
Additional contact information
Frits Spieksma: University of Groningen

No 14034-EEF, Research Report from University of Groningen, Research Institute SOM (Systems, Organisations and Management)

Abstract: We show how to use ATP and WTA rankings to estimate the probability that a player with a certain ranking advances to a specific round (for instance, the quarterfinals) in an upcoming tournament. We use the results from Grand Slam and Olympic tournaments in the period 2004 – 2014. Pooling the data, which is justified according to our tests, allows us to compute probabilities with relatively small confidence intervals. For instance, the probability of a top 4 tennis player to reach the quarterfinals is 0.722 with a 95% confidenceinterval of (0.669; 0.771). This study was motivated by a request from the Dutch Olympic Committee (NOC*NSF).Based on our results, NOC*NSF decides which Dutch single tennis players to invite to participate at the 2016 Olympic Games of Rio de Janeiro.

Date: 2014
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
https://hdl.handle.net/11370/9c3cc2c3-5fb7-409a-b50d-ef4c7115a0aa (application/pdf)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:gro:rugsom:14034-eef

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in Research Report from University of Groningen, Research Institute SOM (Systems, Organisations and Management) Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Hanneke Tamling ().