Educational Responses to Migration-Augmented Export Shocks: Evidence from China
Yao Pan and
Jessica Leight
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Yao Pan: George Washington University
Working Papers from The George Washington University, Institute for International Economic Policy
Abstract:
This paper analyzes the effects of positive shocks to export-oriented industries following China's accession to the World Trade Organization on human capital investment in urban and rural areas. Exploiting cross-county variations in the reduction in export tariff uncertainty both locally and at plausible migration destinations, we find that youth reaching matriculation age post-accession in counties experiencing a larger export shock show a lower probability of enrolling in high school. In urban areas, this effect is driven by local shocks, while in rural areas, it is primarily driven by shocks at migration destinations. Urban youth show evidence of a deterioration in labor market outcomes linked to declining matriculation rates, while there is no evidence of significant labor market effects for rural youth.
Keywords: Export Shock; Human Capital Attainment; Urban-rural Inequality; China (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F14 F16 J24 O15 O18 O19 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 51 pages
Date: 2021
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cna, nep-int, nep-isf and nep-ure
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:gwi:wpaper:2021-14
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