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The dynamics of revolutions

Moti Michaeli and Daniel Spiro

No WP2017/8, Working Papers from University of Haifa, Department of Economics

Abstract: We study the dynamics of revolutions and mass protests. In a uni ed framework we explain three classes of observed revolutions, two of which are unexplained by earlier models: 1) a revolution initiated by extreme regime opponents dissenting greatly, later joined by moderate dissidents dissenting less; 2) a revolution initiated by moderates dissenting moderately, later joined by extremists; 3) a revolution where extreme regime opponents gradually push the freedom of speech, backed by increased dissent of mod- erates. These match the dynamics of many major revolutions, e.g., the Iranian Islamic Revolution, the fall of the USSR, the Egyptian Arab Spring and the Tiananmen-Square protests

Keywords: Revolution; Mass protest; Regime; Dissent. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D74 P26 P5 Z12 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 53
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