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Stockage des déchets radioactifs et incertitude

Alain Ayong Le Kama () and Mouez Fodha

Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) from HAL

Abstract: This paper examines optimal radioactive-waste burial policy under an uncertainty : the possibility that an accident mightoccur in the future. The framework is an optimal growth model with pollution disutility. We show that nuclear power maybe a long-term solution for world energy demand. Nevertheless, under uncertainty, the social planner will decide to reducethe waste-burial rate, but the changes in consumption levels-and hence in buried-waste levels-are ambiguous. Dependingon the economy's balanced growth rate and the preference parameters, the optimal amount of buried waste may increasedespite the risk of a future accident.

Date: 2009
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Published in Economie et Prévision, 2009, 190-191, pp.39-52

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