The International Transmission of House Price Shocks

Catherine Bruneau (), Olivier de Bandt and Karim Barhoumi ()
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Catherine Bruneau: PSE - Paris School of Economics - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - ENS-PSL - École normale supérieure - Paris - PSL - Université Paris Sciences et Lettres - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - ENPC - École nationale des ponts et chaussées - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement, CES - Centre d'économie de la Sorbonne - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique

Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) from HAL

Abstract: In order to assess transmission mechanisms between global and domestic house prices, and possibly contagion effects, we use a large database of macroeconomic variables for OECD countries. We extract common factors to summarize the comovements of the variables and include them in stationary FAVAR models. We mainly focus on the "pandemic" view of contagion where local shocks, originating from a country or a local housing market, spread out to other domestic housing markets. An interesting finding is that, even allowing for other channels of international transmission (through global interest rates, or activity), the US real house prices, which appear to be exogenous in the US dynamics, unidirectionally causes the international house price factor, which in turn causes the domestic real house price growth for several countries. The channels of contagion from the US appears therefore to be either direct, through house prices (in particular in the UK or Spain), or indirect through other variables.

Keywords: housing; factor models; Vevtor Autoregressive models (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2010
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (28)

Published in O. de Bandt, Th. Knetsch, J. Peñalosa, F. Zollino. Housing markets in Europe: a macroeconomic perspective, Springer, pp.129-160, 2010

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Related works:
Working Paper: The international transmission of house price shocks (2010)
Working Paper: The International Transmission of House Price Shocks (2010)
Working Paper: The International Transmission of House Price Shocks (2010)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hal:cesptp:hal-00665531

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