A non-parametric method to nowcast the Euro Area IPI

Laurent Ferrara and Thomas Raffinot

Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) from HAL

Abstract: Non-parametric methods have been empirically proved to be of great interest in the statistical literature in order to forecast stationary time series, but very few applications have been proposed in the econometrics literature. In this paper, our aim is to test whether non-parametric statistical procedures based on a Kernel method can improve classical linear models in order to nowcast the Euro area manufacturing industrial production index (IPI) by using business surveys released by the European Commission. Moreover, we consider the methodology based on bootstrap replications to estimate the confidence interval of the nowcasts.

Keywords: Non-parametric; Kernel; nowcasting; bootstrap; Euro area IPI.; Euro area IPI; Non-paramétrique; noyaux; IPI zone euro. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2008-04
Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://shs.hal.science/halshs-00275769
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Published in 2008

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Working Paper: A non-parametric method to nowcast the Euro Area IPI (2008)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hal:cesptp:halshs-00275769

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