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Drought and Civil War in Sub-Saharan Africa

Mathieu Couttenier () and Raphaël Soubeyran ()
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Raphaël Soubeyran: LAMETA - Laboratoire Montpelliérain d'Économie Théorique et Appliquée - UM1 - Université Montpellier 1 - UM3 - Université Paul-Valéry - Montpellier 3 - INRA - Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique - Montpellier SupAgro - Centre international d'études supérieures en sciences agronomiques - UM - Université de Montpellier - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - Montpellier SupAgro - Institut national d’études supérieures agronomiques de Montpellier, IDEP - IDEP


Abstract: This paper contributes to the heated debate on the link between climate and civil war. We exploit a large dataset of a drought index commonly used in hydrology, the Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI). The PDSI is based on a hydrological model and is a cumulative measure that takes account of past climatic variables. Our analysis takes account of country fixed effects, removal of the most influential observations, use of alternative sample periods and changes to the battle-death threshold. Overall, results show a robust link between drought and civil war in Sub-Saharan African states after independence.

Keywords: Climate Change; Drought; Civil War (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2011-07
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Related works:
Journal Article: Drought and Civil War In Sub‐Saharan Africa (2014) Downloads
Journal Article: Drought and civil war in sub-Saharan Africa (2013) Downloads
Working Paper: Drought and Civil War in Sub-Saharan Africa (2012) Downloads
Working Paper: Drought and Civil War in Sub-Saharan Africa (2010) Downloads
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