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Deforestation and the Real Exchange Rate

Jean-Louis Arcand, Sylviane Guillaumont Jeanneney and Patrick Guillaumont ()
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Sylviane Guillaumont Jeanneney: CERDI - Centre d'Études et de Recherches sur le Développement International - UdA - Université d'Auvergne - Clermont-Ferrand I - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique
Patrick Guillaumont: CERDI - Centre d'Études et de Recherches sur le Développement International - UdA - Université d'Auvergne - Clermont-Ferrand I - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique

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Abstract: Deforestation is a phenomenon that has largely been concentrated in the developing world. We construct a theoretical model of deforestation that focuses on the factors affecting the incentives to transform forested land into agricultural land. We show that: (i) lower discount rates and stronger institutions decrease deforestation; (ii) a depreciation in the real exchange rate increases deforestation in developing countries whereas the opposite obtains in developed countries; (iii) paradoxically, better institutions may exacerbate the deleterious impact of a depreciation in developing countries. These hypotheses are tested on an annual sample of 101 countries over the 1961-1988 period, and are not rejected by the data. Our results suggest that short-term macroeconomic policy, institutional factors, and the interaction between the two, are potentially important determinants of environmental outcomes.

Date: 2008
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Published in Journal of Development Economics, 2008, 86 (2), pp.242-262

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Related works:
Working Paper: Deforestation and the Real Exchange Rate (2011) Downloads
Journal Article: Deforestation and the real exchange rate (2008) Downloads
Working Paper: Deforestation and the Real Exchange Rate (2005) Downloads
Working Paper: Deforestation and the Real Exchange Rate (2003) Downloads
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