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Uncertainty of Law and the Legal Process

Bruno Deffains () and Giuseppe Dari-Mattiacci
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Bruno Deffains: BETA - Bureau d'Économie Théorique et Appliquée - INRA - Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique - UNISTRA - Université de Strasbourg - UL - Université de Lorraine - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique

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Abstract: There is extensive literature on whether courts or legislators produce efficient rules, but which of them produces rules efficiently? The law is subject to uncertainty ex ante; uncertainty makes the outcomes of trials difficult to predict and deters parties from settling disputes out of court. In contrast, the law is certain ex post: litigation fosters the creation of precedents that reduce uncertainty. We postulate that there is a natural balance between the degree of uncertainty of a legal system (kept under control by litigation) and its litigation rate (sustained by uncertainty). We describe such equilibrium rates in a model of tort litigation, study how they are affected by different policies, and compare the costs and benefits of the legislative and the judicial process of lawmaking.

Date: 2005
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Published in Journal of Institutional and Theoretical Economics, 2005, 163 (4), pp.627-656. ⟨10.1628/093245607783242990⟩

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hal:journl:hal-00279241

DOI: 10.1628/093245607783242990

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