Do misalignments predict aggregated stock-market volatility?
Christophe Boucher (),
Bertrand Maillet and
Thierry Michel
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Christophe Boucher: CES - Centre d'économie de la Sorbonne - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique
Bertrand Maillet: CES - Centre d'économie de la Sorbonne - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique
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Abstract:
This paper considers forecasting regressions of "realized volatility" on a misalignment measure. Results show that this misalignment measure is useful to predict in and out-of-sample stock-market volatility at monthly horizons. The analysis also suggests a threshold effect.
Keywords: Realized volatility; Volatility forecasting; Asymmetry (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2008-08
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Published in Economics Letters, 2008, 100 (2), pp.317-320. ⟨10.1016/j.econlet.2008.02.019⟩
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hal:journl:hal-00307783
DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2008.02.019
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