Quel est l'impact de la croissance anormale des résultats sur l'évaluation boursière des entreprises ? Une comparaison internationale

Hafiz Imtiaz Ahmad, Pascal Alphonse () and Michel Levasseur
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Pascal Alphonse: LSMRC - Lille School of Management Research Center - ULR 4112 - SKEMA Business School - Université de Lille
Michel Levasseur: LSMRC - Lille School of Management Research Center - ULR 4112 - SKEMA Business School - Université de Lille

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Abstract: The paper analyses the stock market valuation of growth and growth persistence as reflected in earnings forecasts and earnings growth forecasts. The dynamics of the abnormal earning growth is modeled and embeded in the pricing framework of Ohlson and Juttner-Nauroth (2005). The empirical predictions of the model are tested on a sample of firms from developped and emerging markets. The results indicate that stock prices are associated with earnings growth but that the perceived persistence of the growth is low. Supplemental accounting information help to capture the strenght of the growth and improve the fitting of the model. Finally, the model produces estimates of the implied cost of capital consistent with traditionnal risk factors.

Keywords: Earnings forecast; Growth; Résultat; Prévisions; Persistence; Croissance; Ohlson (AEG) (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2011-05-10
Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.science/hal-00645363
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Published in Comptabilités, économie et société, May 2011, Montpellier, France. pp.cd-rom

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